CausalBeacon
Acme Manufacturing CausalBeacon AI Demo
Powered by CoreSyncOS from Envizo
Single North Star: EBITDA Growth
AI-powered causal analysis identifying opportunities to drive $1-2M EBITDA recoverythrough revenue growth and cost optimization
Current Monthly EBITDA
$76K
2024 avg vs 2023 avg
2024 EBITDA Margin
2.9%
Down from 6.3% in 2023
Annual Run Rate
$910K
Current trajectory
24-Month EBITDA Trend
Monthly EBITDA performance showing 2024 deterioration
Strategic Challenge: Dual-Threat to Profitability
Acme Manufacturing's EBITDA has deteriorated by 58% from 2023 to 2024, driven by a combination of revenue headwinds and cost leakage.
Revenue Decline
- • Pricing pressure: ASP down $4,100 (-17%)
- • Win rate collapse: 41.6% → 28.6% (-13pp)
- • Market share erosion: 18.2% → 13.9% (-24%)
- • DSO crisis: 53 → 72 days (+19 days)
Cost Escalation
- • Quality crisis: Defects up 112% (2.3% → 4.8%)
- • Scrap rate: 2.9% → 5.1% (+76%)
- • OEE declining: 81.1% → 66.1% (-15pp)
- • COGS margin: 59.1% → 61.3% (+2.2pp)
🎯 Target Goal: Achieve $1-2M EBITDA recovery within one year through integrated revenue growth, cash flow optimization, and operational excellence initiatives.
Causal Driver Analysis
AI-powered causal inference identifies the true drivers of EBITDA performance, ranked by their impact on profitability.
Causal Flow Pathway
Top 5 Causal Drivers by Impact
Annual EBITDA impact from 1 standard deviation change
Detailed Analysis
Market Share
A 1 standard deviation change in Market Share increases annual EBITDA by $644,021
Supplier Quality Score
A 1 standard deviation change in Supplier Quality Score increases annual EBITDA by $613,081
Average Selling Price
A 1 standard deviation change in Average Selling Price increases annual EBITDA by $608,156
Scrap Rate
A 1 standard deviation change in Scrap Rate decreases annual EBITDA by $594,579
Customer Retention Rate
A 1 standard deviation change in Customer Retention Rate increases annual EBITDA by $591,690
Pre-Computed Counterfactual Scenarios
Five high-impact scenarios showing projected EBITDA improvements based on targeted operational changes.
Full Transformation Program
Deploy all high-impact interventions simultaneously for maximum EBITDA recovery
Annual Impact Comparison
Projected annual EBITDA improvement for each scenario
All Scenarios
Full Transformation Program
Deploy all high-impact interventions simultaneously for maximum EBITDA recovery
Six Sigma Quality Program
Eliminate quality-related cost leakage through defect and scrap reduction
Revenue Engine Recovery
Restore pricing power and sales effectiveness to 2023 levels through value-based selling and competitive repositioning
Working Capital Optimization
Aggressive DSO reduction to release trapped cash and reduce working capital financing costs
Predictive Maintenance & OEE
Reduce unplanned downtime through predictive maintenance and equipment reliability
Interactive "What-If" Analysis
Adjust key operational metrics in real-time to see their projected impact on EBITDA. The causal AI model calculates the financial outcome instantly.
Adjust Metrics
Projected EBITDA
Impact Analysis
12-Month Projection
How It Works
This interactive tool uses the causal model's regression coefficients to calculate counterfactual EBITDA in real-time. The formula is: Projected EBITDA = Baseline + Σ(coefficient × Δmetric). Confidence levels are computed based on the standard errors of the causal effects. Adjust the sliders to explore different operational scenarios and see their immediate financial impact.
Prescriptive Recommendations
Five actionable initiatives ranked by ROI, with clear implementation roadmaps and expected outcomes.
Total Potential
Total Investment
Average ROI
ROI Comparison
Return on investment percentage for each recommendation
Detailed Action Plan
Six Sigma Quality Excellence
Deploy Six Sigma methodology to eliminate defects and scrap, reducing quality-related costs by 50%+
Working Capital & DSO Optimization
Implement automated collections, payment terms optimization, and credit policy refinement to reduce DSO to 48 days
Revenue Excellence Program
Comprehensive sales enablement and value-based pricing initiative to restore pricing power and win rates to 2023 levels
Supplier Quality & Partnership Program
Tier-1 supplier development program to improve incoming quality and reduce supply chain disruptions
Predictive Maintenance & Equipment Reliability
IoT-enabled predictive maintenance program to reduce unplanned downtime by 35%+ and improve OEE
Combined EBITDA Improvement
Annual benefit from implementing all recommendations
Quarterly OKR Roadmap
Strategic 4-quarter plan to achieve $1-2M EBITDA recovery (targeting $1.5M) through balanced revenue growth and operational excellence
2025 Strategic Goal
- • DSO optimization & collections
- • Value-based pricing strategy
- • Sales enablement & win rate
- • Six Sigma quality program
- • Supplier excellence
- • Predictive maintenance & OEE
Q1 2025
(Jan - Mar)Quick Wins: Cash Flow & Pricing
Accelerate Collections & Optimize DSO
Deploy automated AR management, payment terms optimization, and credit scoring to reduce DSO and improve cash-based EBITDA
Implement Value-Based Pricing Strategy
Deploy pricing analytics, competitive benchmarking, and value messaging to capture pricing power and improve margins
Q2 2025
(Apr - Jun)Revenue Engine Activation
Sales Enablement & Competitive Positioning
Deploy comprehensive sales training, competitive intelligence, and value selling frameworks to improve win rate
Customer Retention & Expansion
Deploy customer success programs, upsell/cross-sell campaigns, and loyalty initiatives to improve retention
Q3 2025
(Jul - Sep)Operational Excellence & Quality
Six Sigma Quality Program
Deploy DMAIC methodology, Statistical Process Control (SPC), and root cause analysis to reduce defects and scrap
Supplier Quality & On-Time Delivery
Deploy supplier scorecards, performance reviews, and collaborative improvement programs to improve supplier performance
Q4 2025
(Oct - Dec)Sustain & Scale
Predictive Maintenance & OEE Optimization
Deploy IoT sensors, predictive analytics, and TPM (Total Productive Maintenance) to maximize equipment effectiveness
Continuous Improvement Culture & Governance
Establish governance frameworks, KPI dashboards, and continuous improvement teams to sustain gains
Expected Results by EOY 2025
Cross-Tenant Causal Impact Flows
See how operational improvements cascade across the organization. Each tenant's actions create ripple effects measured in real-time causal coefficients.
Quality → Revenue Feedback Loop
Demonstrating causal intelligence across tenants
Reduces Defect Rate from 10.8% → 5.4%
OEE improves from 72.4% → 80% (+7.6pp)
Win Rate increases via NPS improvement
EBITDA gains $2.5M from Six Sigma initiative
Pricing → Cost Cascade
Demonstrating causal intelligence across tenants
Enforces $3,200/unit pricing floor
ASP stabilizes at $24,200 (+$4,100)
Avoids cost-cutting pressure on quality
EBITDA margin recovers to 5.5%
Supplier Quality → Sales Cycle Impact
Demonstrating causal intelligence across tenants
Improves Supplier Quality Score 78% → 95%
Reduces production delays and rework
Sales cycle shortens by 25 days
Market share recovery 13.9% → 18.2%
Explore Other Tenants
CoreSync OS provides role-specific dashboards for every stakeholder
Plant Floor Manager (Mike Chen)
Shift-level OEE tracking, defect root cause analysis, downtime triage, and daily task prioritization.
Sales Manager (Sarah Martinez)
Pipeline health, deal prioritization, pricing discipline, win rate drivers, and rep performance analysis.
About Us: CausalBeacon AI & CoreSyncOS
Welcome to the CausalBeacon AI demo for Acme Manufacturing. This interactive experience showcases how Envizo's proprietary AI operating system, CoreSyncOS, empowers organizations to achieve unprecedented clarity, alignment, and flourishing.
What is CausalBeacon AI?
CausalBeacon AI is a specialized application built on the CoreSyncOS platform, designed to illuminate the true drivers of performance for specific industries and roles. This demo provides a glimpse into a manufacturing-focused tenant of CausalBeacon, demonstrating how leaders can:
Identify True Causal Drivers
Move beyond correlations to understand what truly impacts key metrics like EBITDA.
Explore Scenarios & Recommendations
Test "what-if" hypotheses and receive data-backed, high-ROI recommendations.
Align Teams with OKRs
Translate strategic goals into actionable, causally-linked objectives and key results across departments.
How CausalBeacon Is Different
Traditional BI tools and even AI-assisted analytics fall short when it comes to driving measurable EBITDA outcomes. Here's why CausalBeacon delivers what others can't:
| Capability | Traditional BI (PowerBI, Tableau, NetSuite) | LLM-Assisted (ChatGPT, Co-pilot) | CausalBeacon AI (Aligned Prescriptive) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shows "What Happened" | ✅ | ✅ | ✅ |
| Explains "Why It Happened" (Causal, not correlation) | ❌ | ⚠️ Guesses | ✅ Proven |
| Prescribes "What to Do" (ROI-ranked actions) | ❌ | ⚠️ Generic | ✅ Specific |
| Quantifies Financial Impact (EBITDA per intervention) | ❌ | ❌ | ✅ $-Level |
| Aligns Cross-Functional Teams (Plant, Sales, CEO) | ❌ | ❌ | ✅ Multi-Tenant |
| Tracks Execution Progress (OKRs to completion) | ❌ | ❌ | ✅ Full Loop |
- • Causally validated (not correlation-based guesses)
- • ROI-quantified with confidence intervals
- • Organizationally coordinated across Plant, Sales, and Executive teams
- • Execution-tracked via quarterly OKRs with real-time progress
LLM-Assisted Prescriptive
Problem: Generic, uncoordinated suggestions
- • ChatGPT suggests "improve quality" but doesn't quantify which defect type costs you $613K/year
- • No alignment between Plant Manager's actions and Sales Manager's win rate
- • CEO gets 10 recommendations but no ROI ranking or causal proof
- • No execution tracking—initiatives die in spreadsheets
Result: Debate paralysis, wasted budget, no measurable EBITDA impact
CausalBeacon Aligned Prescriptive
Solution: Causal, coordinated, tracked execution
- • Causal precision: "Reducing Welding Defects by 40% yields $2.5M EBITDA recovery (95% confidence)"
- • Cross-tenant coordination: Plant Manager's quality improvements automatically flow to Sales via NPS → Win Rate → CEO's EBITDA
- • ROI-ranked roadmap: CEO sees top 5 initiatives sorted by payback period (e.g., Six Sigma: 1,371% ROI, 9-month payback)
- • Execution tracking: Quarterly OKRs with cumulative EBITDA targets from $300K (Q1) to $1.5M (Q4)
Result: $1.5M EBITDA recovered in 12 months with full organizational alignment
Traditional BI tools show you dashboards. LLMs give you chat-based suggestions. CausalBeacon gives you a causally-grounded, organizationally-aligned operating system that turns insights into measurable EBITDA outcomes—because every stakeholder (Plant Manager, Sales Manager, CEO) sees exactly how their actions impact the North Star, with ROI proof and execution accountability.
The Power Behind the Platform: CoreSyncOS
At the heart of CausalBeacon AI is CoreSyncOS – the Core Synchronization Operating System for Agentic Organizations. CoreSyncOS is Envizo's foundational technology that addresses a critical challenge in modern enterprises: the disconnect between strategic intent and operational execution.
CoreSyncOS works by:
Our Vision: Flourishing Through Intelligent Systems
Envizo's mission is to envision a future with more flourishing by applying advanced technologies to radically improve company systems. CoreSyncOS and CausalBeacon AI are the embodiment of this vision, transforming how organizations operate by making work more intelligent, more meaningful, and ultimately, more human.
Integration & Next Steps
CausalBeacon integrates seamlessly with your existing systems to provide continuous intelligence.
Connected Systems
NetSuite ERP
Financial & operational data
MES/SCADA
Real-time production metrics
Quality Management
Defect & quality data
Supplier Portal
On-time delivery metrics
CausalBeacon AI Platform Benefits
Implementation Timeline
Discovery
2 weeks
- Data source mapping
- KPI definition
- Stakeholder interviews
Pilot Implementation
4-6 weeks
- System integration
- Model training
- Dashboard deployment
Full Deployment
8-12 weeks
- Organization-wide rollout
- Training & change management
- Continuous optimization
Ready to Transform Your Operations?
Schedule a discovery session to see how CausalBeacon AI can identify root causes and prescribe high-ROI solutions for your manufacturing operations.
Contact Envizo Solutions
Proven Results
Our causal AI platform has helped manufacturing companies identify $50M+ in annual EBITDA improvements across quality, efficiency, and supply chain operations.